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Name: North America Economy
Description: The North American Economy including Central America
Author: Chris Devlin
 
 
Hyperlinks to relevant information
 
World Bank GDP Forecast
 
Step 1. Review the Economic Analysis   (Show detailed report)
 
1. Importance Very important   The North American Economies, consisting of the United States, Canada, Mexico and the other Central American countries, are important when considering your investment decisions, because they drive the world's economy. It is the consumer spending of people in North America that drives economic growth.
2. Wisdom Important   It is wise to consider the health of the North American economies when considering your investments. If consumer spending is increasing, the North American economy will likely do well. If consumer spending is descreasing, the North American economy will find it difficult to do well.
3. Knowledge Important   If the North American economy is growing more than 1.5% a year, that is a very good signal and a great opportunity to own stocks. If the North American economy is growing between 0.5% and 1.5% a year, it is more prudent to hold more cash or bonds. If the North American economy is growing less than 0.5% or is shrinking (negative growth), it is more prudent to have the majority of your holdings in cash or bonds.
4. Current Assessment Fair   The current assessment of the North American economy is good. There is moderate growth of 0.85% from last year. Inflation has been low, and unemployment is moderate. The average interest rates across the various countries is moderate and not likely to rise.
5. Future Assessment Fair  
 
 
Step 2. Consider the Future Assessment Probabilities, Reasons and Explanations
 
   Possible Outcome Probability Value Reasons and Explanations
1. Awesome   10% 5%+
2. Good   30% 1.5%+
3. Fair   50% 0%+
4. Bad   10% >-3%
5. Terrible   10% <-3%
 
 
Step 3. Consider the Key Performance Indicators

Key Performance Indicator Analysis Summary   
Key Performance Indicator Importance   Current Assessment   Future Assessment  
1. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)     Very Important   Fair   Fair
2. Inflation Rate     Important   Fair   Fair
3. Interest Rates     Important   Fair   Fair
4. Unemployment     Important   Good   Good
5. Consumer Durable Goods     Important   Awesome   Fair
6. Personal Income     Very important   Fair   Fair
7. Saving and Investment     Important   Fair   Good
8. Total Economy - Current Account     Not important   Awesome   Awesome
 
Do you agree with the analysis?
Should you continue to search for investments?
 
 
 
Step 4. Continue your search for investments by following one of the links below

Sub-Economy / Geography Analysis Summary   (Show assessment details)
Sub-Economy / Geography Importance   Current Assessment   Future Assessment  
1. Canadian Economy     Very important   Good   Fair
2. United States Economy  ( follow this link for All assets)   Very important   Fair   Fair
3. Mexican Economy     Important   Good   Fair
 


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